By Christopher Koker; Political Analyst & Commentator
The Sierra Leone Parliament is on the verge of dissolution. Chief Electoral Commissioner and Chairperson of NEC: - Dr. Christian Thorpe is soon to blow the political whistle for canvassing or electioneering and campaigning to commence in the open and thus in earnest and not at all in jest as could be seen at present.
Notwithstanding the incontrovertible fact that the two main political parties, namely, the ruling APC party and the main opposition â€“ SLPP, are very busy doing their respective under-the-table politicking with absolute impunity, when they are fully aware that they should not be seen to be engaged in that at present, and the PPRC seemingly a lame duck, in that the institution, which is a creature of the constitution, cannot be seen to contain the present excess of the two main political parties as they make their so-called meet-the-people tours nationwide, the ruling APC party is apparently hell-bent to penetrate the Southern region which is without a doubt, an SLPP stronghold No.1, with a view to seriously splitting the votes, come the Saturday, November 17, 2012 elections.
There are 25 constituencies in the Sierra Leone Parliament reserved for the four districts in the Southern region, and 96 wards for 96 ward councilors in the two city councils and four district councils in the southern region.
Bo District with 11 parliamentary seats, 29 wards and 15 chiefdoms is without a doubt predominantly an SLPP deep-rooted stronghold. In the 2007 elections, the main opposition â€“ SLPP, won 8 of the 11 parliamentary seats, the PMDC secured 3 parliamentary seats while the ruling APC Party was not at all able to secure a single parliamentary seat.
It is not even likely that the ruling APC party will be able to secure a single parliamentary seat in Bo District; but there are indications that president Dr. Ernest Bai Koroma, owing to his shrewd and suave manner of playing the game of politics, shall be able to poll at very least, 30% of the Bo District votes in the November 17, 2012 election.
Moyamba District is also predominantly an SLPP stronghold. The district has got 6 seats in the parliament, 24 wards for 24 24ward councilors and 14 chiefdoms. In the 2007 elections, to show that Moyamba District is an SLPP stronghold, the main opposition won 4 of the 6 parliamentary seats, the PMDC secured 1 seat and the ruling APC party also was able to secure 1 seat in the parliament for their respective political parties.
Owing to the seemingly substantial or large support President Koroma is gathering in Moyamba district, as a result of his politeness, culture and developmental drive, it is becoming evident that the ruling APC party shall be able to secure one parliamentary seat in the November 17, 2012 elections to add to the parliamentary seat secured in the 2007 elections to bring the add to the two seats in the parliament in this yearâ€™s elections. Hence the ruling APC party is at present 35% strong in Moyamba District which is widely known to be an SLPP stronghold.
Pujehun District too is an SLPP stronghold. The district has 5 constituencies in the parliament; 22 wards for 22 ward councilors and 12 chiefdoms.
In the 2007 elections, the SLPP accidentally lost 3 parliamentary seats to the PMDC. In effect, the SLPP was only able to secure two seats in the parliament, while the ruling APC party was not able secure a single parliamentary seat.
With the presence of Honourable Moijue Kaikai, as the Resident Minister â€“ Southern Region, it is highly like that the ruling APC party shall/can secure at least 1 of out the 5 parliamentary seats in Pujehun District in the November 17 elections this year. The ruling APC party is at present 25% strong in Pujehun District.
Bonthe district too, is predominantly an SLPP stronghold. But because the party deliberately neglected and abandoned the district, the PMDC won all the 3 parliamentary seats in Bonthe district in the 2007 elections. Thus, the ruling APC party as well as the SLPP were not able to secure/win a single parliamentary seat.
It is not going to be easy for the ruling APC party to secure or win a single parliamentary seat in Bonthe district in the November 17, elections this year; but the APC party presidential candidate and flag bearer, President, Dr. Ernest Bai Koroma can poll at least 30% of the votes in the November 17 elections this year, simply owing to President Koromaâ€™s style of politics of politeness and concern for the communityâ€™s interest.
Bonthe District has got 3 constituencies in the parliament; 21 wards for ward councilors and 11 chiefdoms.
Opinion polls at present are showing that the ruling APC party presidential candidate, President Dr. Ernest Bai Koroma could secure at least 35% of the Southern Region votes in the November elections this year.
Thus, the political battle between the two main political parties in the southern region rages on and on and on.